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    No Free Lunch in California

    How Voters’ Schizoid World-View Feeds Sacramento’s Dysfunction


    Thursday, May 14, 2009
    By Jerry Roberts (Contact)
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    As wildfire blazed a few miles away, Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger spoke to the cameras at Earl Warren Showgrounds about emergency services last week, performing a political tap dance for the ages.

    Just two days before, the governator was in full campaign mode at another public event, threatening that California’s firefighting force would be slashed if his five pet ballot measures are defeated in the May 19 election. Now, confronted with the real-life suffering of real-life people fleeing the Jesusita Fire, he suddenly softened his tone to one of reassurance, promising Santa Barbarans — and all Californians facing a long fire season — that he would never allow politics to hamper their protection.

    Capitol Letters

    “First of all, let me just make it clear, because there’s always the question that comes up, what happens to the fire departments and to the budget if those initiatives don’t pass,” Schwarzenegger told reporters. “The first thing you should know is, I will always fight and get every dollar I can for public safety. That is the important thing you should know.

    “Number two, it is very clear that when the initiatives fail, there will be $6 billion less that will be available, so therefore there will have to be additional cuts made, if it is in law enforcement, fire, education,” he added. “But I will fight for every dollar, and will always make sure we have enough manpower and enough engines and helicopters ready to fight those fires.”

    So: Lots of cuts, but still plenty of helicopters. Thanks for making that perfectly clear, governor, sir.

    As a political matter, it’s probably only fair to cut Schwarzenegger some slack for his masterpiece of obfuscation, given the treacherous political terrain he now faces. Facing near-certain defeat for his increasingly unpopular Propositions 1A-1E (note his diction: “when” the initiatives fail), he’s quickly running out of plays to convince voters to support the measures. Together they represent about $6 billion in short-term revenue he has counted on to close the state’s metastasizing deficit, and many billions more in the long term.

    While Schwarzenegger and legislative leaders justifiably take the heat for the state’s chronic budget mess, however, it is important to note that California voters themselves bear a large responsibility for the financial dysfunction.

    Let’s face it, scaring the bejesus out of voters is a time-honored tradition in California (see: Campaign, Proposition 13). More importantly, Schwarzenegger is right on the money in foreseeing a new round of substantial budget cuts when, uh, if 1A-1E lose; legislative Republicans, who hold a minority veto over fiscal matters because California’s constitution requires a supermajority vote to pass a budget, will be even more emboldened after the election, and tax increases will no longer be on the table.

    While Schwarzenegger and legislative leaders justifiably take the heat for the state’s chronic budget mess, however, it is important to note that California voters themselves bear a large responsibility for the financial dysfunction. As a recent Field Poll clearly showed, voters want all the benefits of high-cost services — without the sacrifice needed to pay for them:

    • Two-thirds of voters — 83 percent of Republicans, 65 percent of independents, and 57 percent of Democrats — say the budget should be balanced primarily through spending cuts.

    • Solid majorities of voters, however, oppose cutting public schools, health care, or higher education — which happen to be the three largest portions of the budget, collectively representing about 80 cents of every dollar the state spends. And voters also reject cuts in law enforcement, childcare, mental health, environmental regulation, water storage, public transportation, or roads and highways.

    • Six in 10 voters at the same time say that higher taxes on residential property, income, sales, gasoline, and vehicles should be off-limits, along with expanded taxes on professional services or business property.

    And, oh yeah, a large majority of voters in a recent Public Policy Institute of California survey went thumbs-down on changing the two-thirds requirement to pass a budget.

    This popular public mindset — simultaneously ruling out serious spending reductions, revenue increases, and the one reform that might make either option politically viable — is, for lack of a better word, irrational, and ensures that the gridlock in Sacramento won’t be broken anytime soon.

    P.S.: Schwarzenegger reported this week that with tax revenue sapped by the recession, the state now faces a projected $15.4 billion deficit for the fiscal year that begins July 1, even if the budget initiatives pass, and $21.3 billion in red ink if they don’t. At press time, he’d scheduled release of two alternatives for dealing with the mess, depending on Tuesday’s election results.

    Don’t forget to vote.

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    Comments

    Discussion Guidelines

    I agree. I (we) am the problem by expecting too much from my government, and by voting for those that cause more spending for my benefit (pork).

    I have the government that I deserve. But I promise to change my selfish ways and to deserve a better government. I do expect that the bloated Sacramento monster will not easily accept a healthy diet. There are nasty times ahead as I once again assert my role as master of the government.

    How much money could be saved by cutting the internal spending in Sacramento? I am referring to the all of the expenses incurred by the weasels and their empires. No one knows how much money the Legislator spends because they want it that way. We have no visibility into the perks and "expenses" of each member. We need public visibility of the details of all expenditures driven by the Capitol. And I do mean ALL expenditures, including expenses directed/caused by the members but funded separately.

    I wager that a 20% cut at the top would save a ton of money and not adversely affect the voters.

    Governator - - are you listening!

    Readers say: Thumbs Up: 2 of 3 • Thumbs Down: 1 of 3

    vangary (anonymous profile)
    May 15, 2009 at 10:16 a.m. (Suggest removal)

    "I agree. I (we) am the problem by expecting too much from my government, and by voting for those that cause more spending for my benefit (pork)."

    You're "agreeing" with something Jerry didn't say. The problem is INADEQUATE REVENUE, because people have bought the propaganda of the wealthy that taxation is evil. Every time something is written about the horrors of raising taxes, the authors will dishonestly omit or misrepresent who pays them in what proportion. By swallowing their nonsense, you might as well be writing a check directly to the Chinese government, because they have a huge interest in the corporations who are the primary beneficiaries of this anti-tax mania, and you end up paying for the many services that they use and that you need.

    Readers say: Thumbs Up: 0 of 2 • Thumbs Down: 2 of 2

    JayB (anonymous profile)
    May 18, 2009 at 1:50 p.m. (Suggest removal)

    An economy based on low-paying service and agricultural industries cannot support the kind of education and health care services "Progressives" want. California's infrastructure was built in the 50s and 60s by the taxes paid by highly paid workers in aerospace and manufacturing. These industries, and the tax revenue they generated are gone -- think MacDonnell-Douglas, GM and General Dynamics, all of which shut down operations in Southern California in the 80s and 90s. These were not just defense contractors -- GM built cars in Southgate and Mac-Dac built passenger aircraft in Long Beach.

    Jerry, I heard on your TV program that the problem in California is that "Anglo" voters won't agree to higher taxes. Well, the "Anglos" are leaving the state as fast as possible. Already, only 30% of K-12 students are "white." Who will you blame for California's misfortune when the last "Anglo" has left, driven out by the hostility of the multiculturalist progressives and Latino supremacists? You wanted "diversity", you got it so stop complaining.

    Readers say: Thumbs Up: 2 of 2 • Thumbs Down: 0 of 2

    revisionist (anonymous profile)
    May 19, 2009 at 2:08 p.m. (Suggest removal)

    IMHO the major problem here is that the majority of the taxpayers in CA just want someone else to pay the bill. And California has stupidly based most of its revenue plan on personal income tax receipts, which vary wildly with the economy and the stock market. Result being that when the economy and market are down, the "wealthy" (usually defined as someone with more than you) become the target for ever more "progressive" taxation.

    In California, the top 1/2 of 1% of the taxpayers already pay 50% of the state income tax, while half the taxpayers pay nothing. That's pretty damn "progressive" by any measure. And those high end taxpayers have options:
    1. they can (and do) leave the state, so pay NO income tax here, thus making the problem worse.
    2. they declare residence in TX or WY or another notax state and live there for 183 days of the year, live in CA the balance of the year and pay NO income tax here, thus making the problem worse.

    And the very well-intentioned Prop 13 has turned into a sort of welfare program for those who bought homes long ago and stayed in them - or maybe that was the intent - but now we have a significant part of the CA population not paying their arguably fair share of tax revenue (my neighbor pays roughly a tenth what I pay on a roughly comparable home).

    Taxation is not inherently evil, but the idea that one can continually demand more and more services from the government without incurring any personal expense is immature and irresponsible. The CA governments, state and local, have raised to an art form the process of funnelling tax dollars to unions so that the unions will in turn support the governments. All at the expense of the ordinary citizens who have to pay for all this. Remember, people, government produces nothing of economic value (except education, but not in CA, rated 2nd lowest in the country); government is pure cost.

    There is no simple answer to this mess, but a start would be to demand less government "service" and a dramatic reduction in government employee compensation - in many, many studies throughout the US over the past 20 years it has been repeatedly found that government employees are significantly higher compensated in wages and fringes when compared to the private sector (except, as one might expect, for those studies commissioned by governments and unions) .

    How about a ballot proposition for an across the board 15% reduction in salaries and benefits for all government employees? Or, and here's one that should bring out the rage, a ballot eliminating unions for government employees? Or at least eliminating their right to strike? Or extending the idea of term limits to any government post (4 or 6 years in any elected office and you're out of the running for any elective office for good) - with the stated intent of eliminating politics as a "profession". The concept of "public service" got drowned years ago at the public trough. Food for thought.

    Readers say: Thumbs Up: 0 of 0 • Thumbs Down: 0 of 0

    JohnLocke (anonymous profile)
    May 19, 2009 at 10:10 p.m. (Suggest removal)

    I think every numbskull who voted for that silly high speed train ought to be taxed triple. It probably wouldn't make a dent in the overall economy, but it might make the idiocracy realize that things have to be paid for.

    Readers say: Thumbs Up: 0 of 0 • Thumbs Down: 0 of 0

    LV (anonymous profile)
    May 20, 2009 at 10:43 a.m. (Suggest removal)

    Prop 13 seems perfectly fair to me. I pay taxes based on what I paid for my house just like I pay taxes on a coat or art based on what I paid for the item.
    When I sell, if I sell for a profit I pay tax on the profit. Think of property tax like sales tax except you get to pay for it on installments.
    I've lived in my home for 30 years and pay a fraction of the property tax my neighbor pays. But over the past 30 years with 60% of my taxes going to education I have paid enough toward education to educate 5-6 kids and my 2 children mostly went to private schools. At 60+ years old I do not expect I will be having any more children, and Ianyway 've already paid way over my 'fair share'. What would be fair about me paying more?

    With retirement coming up in a few years I would not be able to afford higher property taxes anyway -- so would you provide me with taxpayer subsidized affordable housing to move it to? or should I move to Nevada?

    California per student spending on education is amongst the lowest in the nation however the revenue that the state of CA gets is amongst the highest in the nation. We have a failed budget process and the wrong spending priorities.

    Readers say: Thumbs Up: 0 of 0 • Thumbs Down: 0 of 0

    loneranger (anonymous profile)
    May 20, 2009 at 4:18 p.m. (Suggest removal)

    Agree on the education/budgeting point.

    And even though I also benefit from Prop 13, and I understand your comments, I'll bet that a realistic accounting of how many dollars in tax you paid would show that you didn't really cover the costs of government that you used or were entitled to. BTW, your choice to use private schools was your choice, so be sure to include the cost of educating 2 kids in the government services you paid for.

    But all in all, I'm skeptical that the politicians and voters in current-day California could come up with an equitable fix to Prop 13, so best to leave it be. It was certainly needed when it passed. I suspect the bigger issue in tax revenue is the shift in incomes (and therefore income taxes) down the economic scale since 1978.

    Readers say: Thumbs Up: 1 of 1 • Thumbs Down: 0 of 1

    JohnLocke (anonymous profile)
    May 20, 2009 at 4:28 p.m. (Suggest removal)

    JohnLocke,

    I agree with your idea of reducing gov't worker salaries 10-15%. It is exactly what has happened in private industry over the last year, it is time for gov't to do the same. Gov't workers would not even need to take a salary cut, they just need to stop their over the top retirement benefits. Just move the retirement benefits to a 401K type 5% matching for current workers. Do a retroactive 5%/year with interest calculations for the retiree's and give each of them a lump sum payout -- DONE!

    BTW, If property taxes stayed at the purchase price it would be a different story but with the 1%/year increases and remodel assesments it really does not stay at the orginal cost. Prop 13 may not be perfect but is is much more fair than what we had.

    Readers say: Thumbs Up: 0 of 0 • Thumbs Down: 0 of 0

    loneranger (anonymous profile)
    May 20, 2009 at 5:26 p.m. (Suggest removal)

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